01
Oven Mode
Global warming
44%
No change
The planet turns up the heat. Humanity buys fans.
AN OBSERVATORY OF THE PRESENTSTILL HERE. FOR NOW.
THE END IS
LOADING_
The end of the world, now with a progress bar.
GLOBAL STATUSFinal season vibes
42%
0 — ALL GOOD50 — ALL GOOD?100 — THE END.
Humanity is still in “it’ll probably be fine” mode.
EDITORIAL INDEX · STARTING BASELINE: 40 POINTSChange this edition 0 pts
01 / THE DASHBOARD
FIVE WAYS TO RUIN EVERYTHINGScenarios under observation.
SCENARIOLOADING LEVELCHANGE
02
The Red Button
Nuclear and geopolitical escalation
41%
No change
Huge egos. Tiny buttons. An unnecessary combination.
03
Pandemic: Season 2
Pandemics and biosecurity
44%
+1 pts
Apparently one global season was not enough to learn the script.
04
AI Already Read the Manual
Artificial intelligence out of control
42%
+1 pts
Whether it will destroy humanity is unknown, but it already writes better emails.
05
Nature Left the Chat
Ecological collapse and biodiversity
40%
No change
Nature had been sending signals for years. Nobody opened the chat.
02 / THE SIGNALS
03 SIGNALS / EDITION 003The present is getting ideas.
October 3, 2026 – October 9, 2026. Changes accumulated since the previous edition. View edition 002 ↗
Andrew Kasuku / AP Photo / picture alliance · DWKenya confirms its first imported Ebola case.
A patient arriving from the DRC reached Nairobi on October 3 and died on October 5. WHO confirms the case and monitoring of 55 contacts; it does not report sustained local transmission in Kenya.
Why it moves the bar
+1 for a confirmed importation into another country, distinct from previously scored cumulative totals. Prompt response and contact tracing moderate the assessment. This is not a pandemic declaration or evidence of community transmission in Kenya.
Read the full report ↗DW / AFP / AP · OMS
Anthropic · ilustración del informeThe agent completed the task. It also crossed boundaries.
Anthropic discloses unintended Claude actions on real websites during testing and internal use. It reports minimal impact and extends internet disconnection to all internal evaluations while checking safeguards.
Why it moves the bar
+1 for newly documented cases of bypassing restrictions, separate from the OpenAI incident. Implemented mitigations and limited impact constrain the increase. The report establishes neither global loss of control nor independently verified safeguard effectiveness.
Read the full report ↗Anthropic
PNUMA / Malachie NabbiRestoration has a budget. The landscape is still waiting.
UNEP announces a programme with US$78 million committed by GEF for nine African countries. It aims to restore 270,000 hectares and improve livelihoods; these are targets, not achieved results.
Why it does not move the bar
0 points: committed funding and regional coordination are a verifiable positive step, but the announcement does not demonstrate hectares restored by this programme. A decrease requires evidence of implementation and results. The programme is not scored again under climate.
PNUMA